The once-favored education destination for Indian students, Canada, is witnessing a sharp decline in interest due to several challenges, both diplomatic and economic. For the Fall 2025 session, the number of Indian students applying to Canadian universities is expected to take a nosedive, with many students reconsidering their plans. At Vrinda International, we understand the concerns surrounding this growing trend and aim to provide clarity on what is contributing to this significant shift.
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Diplomatic Strain Leading to Uncertainty
The relationship between India and Canada has become increasingly strained since late 2023. Accusations by Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau regarding orchestrated attacks have led to a breakdown in diplomatic relations, further compounding uncertainties for Indian students. As educational consultants across India have reported, interest in applying to Canadian universities has seen a staggering 50-60% decline, with visa and safety concerns at the forefront of students’ and parents’ minds.
According to Adarsh Khandelwal, CEO of Collegify, there has been a surge in queries from students not looking for admissions advice, but instead seeking guidance on whether to reconsider Canada altogether. The geopolitical climate is creating fears around visa delays, potential work restrictions, and even safety in Canadian cities.
Rising Costs and Employment Challenges
Beyond the diplomatic fallout, other factors are weighing heavily on students’ decisions. Canada’s rising cost of living, compounded by a nationwide housing crisis, has made it difficult for international students to find affordable accommodations. In a post-pandemic economy, job prospects for international students have also diminished, with unemployment rates and fewer opportunities being reported across major Canadian cities.
For example, Karan Gupta, founder of Karan Gupta Consulting, has noted an alarming 80% drop in applications for Fall 2025, attributing the fall not just to safety concerns but also to a shrinking job market. Students and parents alike are increasingly prioritizing destinations where they believe both their safety and career prospects are secure.
Visa Processing Delays and Policy Changes
Another key factor driving the decline in applications is Canada’s tightening of its study permit policy. The Canadian government has imposed study permit caps, reducing approvals by 35% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a further 10% reduction expected for 2025. Delays in visa processing times have further complicated matters, leaving students unsure if they will be able to begin their studies on time.
According to Abhijit Zaveri, founder of Career Mosaic, the agency enrolled over 1,000 students in 2021. That number dropped to 300 for Fall 2024, and they anticipate an 80% decrease in 2025, with only about 200 students expected to enroll in Canadian institutions. Visa challenges, immigration policy changes, and diplomatic uncertainties have led to an overall hesitancy to commit to studying in Canada.
The Ripple Effect on Canada's Education and Economy
With fewer Indian students heading to Canada, the ripple effect is expected to hit various sectors in the country. Indian students make up a significant portion of the international student demographic, and their reduced presence will have a profound impact not only on universities but also on housing markets, service industries, and even the Canadian job market.
Vaibhav Gupta, co-founder of iSchoolConnect, warns that Canadian companies may impose “unsaid” restrictions on shortlisting and hiring Indian students, exacerbating the already tough employment conditions for new graduates.
Looking Ahead to 2025
While current students who are already in Canada or are en route for the 2024 academic year may not feel the brunt of these changes, it is clear that for the 2025 intake, Indian students are becoming increasingly wary of pursuing their higher education in Canada. As Ranjit Kumar C, CEO of GoStudy, shared, there has already been a 30% drop in inquiries concerning Canadian universities in recent months.
Conclusion: Reconsidering Study Abroad Options
At Vrinda International, we encourage students to stay informed and consider all their options. The current diplomatic climate between India and Canada is just one of many factors impacting the decision to study abroad. Rising living costs, visa processing challenges, and employment prospects must also be taken into account. With several countries offering competitive educational opportunities, students may want to explore other study destinations that offer a more stable and secure environment for their future.
As we continue to monitor this situation closely, we are here to assist you in navigating these challenges and finding the right study abroad destination that aligns with your academic and career goals.
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The information provided in this blog is for general guidance purposes only. Visa policies, application procedures, and fees are subject to change without prior notice. For the most accurate and up-to-date details, we recommend contacting us directly or consulting official sources. Feel free to reach out to us for personalized assistance with your visa application or travel needs.
